Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.377612 0.440950 0.511900 0.597327 0.697482 0.811292 0.950596
2024-12-29 0.281465 0.365047 0.469160 0.608660 0.791167 1.022492 1.339050
2025-01-05 0.222974 0.310564 0.427849 0.596944 0.835510 1.161611 1.643884
2025-01-12 0.185510 0.273744 0.399023 0.590748 0.878457 1.296859 1.956512
2025-01-19 0.160369 0.248730 0.380706 0.593404 0.930171 1.447095 2.309016
2025-01-26 0.147262 0.238892 0.382152 0.624112 1.026329 1.674830 2.812902
2025-02-02 0.136058 0.229922 0.382913 0.652611 1.121385 1.912089 3.366651
2025-02-09 0.124884 0.219109 0.378680 0.671301 1.201311 2.133452 3.924876
2025-02-16 0.113401 0.205988 0.368442 0.677463 1.259042 2.322487 4.451535
2025-02-23 0.102102 0.191557 0.353791 0.673142 1.296118 2.477641 4.935817
2025-03-02 0.090343 0.174675 0.332398 0.652957 1.299634 2.568816 5.306484
2025-03-09 0.085278 0.169849 0.332903 0.674944 1.388293 2.836710 6.075316
2025-03-16 0.078267 0.160510 0.323898 0.677516 1.439681 3.040212 6.749006
2025-03-23 0.073031 0.154129 0.320051 0.690361 1.514801 3.304615 7.601101
2025-03-30 0.065975 0.143006 0.304987 0.677025 1.530816 3.442960 8.187841
2025-04-06 0.060301 0.134123 0.293528 0.669974 1.559676 3.613455 8.877052
2025-04-13 0.056051 0.127846 0.286938 0.672997 1.612087 3.845145 9.752710
2025-04-20 0.054524 0.127553 0.293657 0.707950 1.745511 4.287973 11.234170
2025-04-27 0.052865 0.126737 0.299048 0.740397 1.877386 4.745979 12.832647
2025-05-04 0.050581 0.124133 0.299887 0.761677 1.984031 5.155737 14.370909
2025-05-11 0.047636 0.119540 0.295358 0.768694 2.054535 5.481817 15.732166
2025-05-18 0.044301 0.113565 0.286692 0.763773 2.092416 5.726286 16.901458
2025-05-25 0.040363 0.105573 0.271987 0.740790 2.077488 5.823891 17.654027